⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Castro
PROJECTED: 2-1
87%
CONF 79
WIN PROBABILITY
87%
Castro
10%
เสมอ
3%
Gimnástica...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
75%
16%
9%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
98%
1%
1%
DL
25% WEIGHT
87%
10%
3%
FINAL BLEND
87%
10%
3%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.34 vs 0.66
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
88%
BTTS NO
12%
CONTEXT
·
Castro holds a 1-goal lead with 19 minutes left; strong home advantage and current scoreline heavily favour home victory.
·
1-goal lead at 71' with ~19 minutes remaining — statistically near-certain hold
·
Home team at home venue (Campo Riomar) provides structural advantage
·
Both teams have scored already (88% BTTS) — attacking pattern established
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Castro
1
เสมอ
4
Gimnástica...
21 ธ.ค.
4-0
23 เม.ย.
0-8
19 ธ.ค.
3-2
14 ก.พ.
0-1
14 พ.ย.
0-0
📖 pred.methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · pred.disclaimer