GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
ฟูแล่ม
ส. 25 เม.ย. · 18:30 น.
พรีเมียร์ลีก
แอสตัน วิลล่า
TOP PICK
แอสตัน วิลล่า
PROJECTED: 1-2
44%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
ฟูแล่ม
28%
เสมอ
44%
แอสตัน วิล...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
16% 20% 63%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
31% 19% 51%
DL 25% WEIGHT
28% 28% 44%
FINAL BLEND
28% 28% 44%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.94 vs 2.06
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-2
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 1-2
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 44% 2.61 +14.8%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.50 +7.8%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.50 -2.0%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.29 -7.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.58 -8.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.74 -9.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 56% 1.46 -18.0%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 2.59 -27.5%
CONTEXT
· Villa's 13-point league lead and superior defensive record (41 GA vs 46) favour away win; Fulham form unknown, limiting conviction.
· Villa 4th (58 pts) vs Fulham 12th (45 pts) — 13-point gap significant
· Villa +6 goal diff vs Fulham -3; Villa's tighter defence (41 GA)
· No recent form or H2H data available — baseline quality gap only signal
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
O. Watkins
AWY · F · 11g/33
27%
2
O. Watkins
AWY · F · 4g/12
27%
3
Raúl Jiménez
HOM · F · 9g/33
22%
4
Harry Wilson
HOM · M · 10g/32
14%
5
M. Rogers
AWY · M · 9g/34
12%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
ฟูแล่ม
0
เสมอ
8
แอสตัน วิล...
28 ก.ย. 3-1
3 พ.ค. 1-0
19 ต.ค. 1-3
17 ก.พ. 1-2
12 พ.ย. 3-1
📖 pred.methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · pred.disclaimer
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