TOP PICK
เล อาฟร์
PROJECTED: 4-3
78%
CONF 76
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
เล อาฟร์
15%
เสมอ
7%
เมส
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
63%
14%
22%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
92%
4%
4%
DL
25% WEIGHT
78%
15%
7%
FINAL BLEND
78%
15%
7%
PREDICTED SCORE
4 - 3
xG 4.28 vs 2.72
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
4-2
0.0%
2
3-2
0.0%
3
4-3
0.0%
4
5-2
0.0%
5
3-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
95%
BTTS NO
5%
💎 VALUE BETS
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Le Havre holds 1-goal lead at 64'; likely to hold on despite Metz's attacking threat and recent yellow cards.
·
1-goal lead with 26 minutes remaining — statistically ~80% win probability
·
Le Havre's home form (DDLWW) steadier than Metz's away form (LDLLL)
·
High-scoring game (4–3 at 64') suggests BTTS and Over 2.5 highly probable
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
24%
Mbwana Ally Samatta
HOM · F · 0g/1
2
24%
Gauthier Hein
AWY · F · 0g/1
3
24%
Giorgi Kvilitaia
AWY · F · 0g/1
4
13%
Rassoul Ndiaye
HOM · M · 0g/1
5
13%
Simon Ebonog
HOM · M · 0g/1
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
เล อาฟร์
6
เสมอ
1
เมส
28 ก.ย.
0-0
21 เม.ย.
0-1
29 ต.ค.
0-0
📖 ระเบียบวิธี
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · การทำนายเป็นความน่าจะเป็นจาก AI ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำ โปรดเดิมพันอย่างมีความรับผิดชอบ