⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Sioni
PROJECTED: 1-0
55%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
55%
Sioni
32%
เสมอ
13%
Aragvi Dus...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
46%
31%
23%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
64%
23%
13%
DL
25% WEIGHT
55%
32%
13%
FINAL BLEND
55%
32%
13%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.17 vs 0.73
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
38%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
5 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Early stalemate (0-0 at 15'); Sioni slight home favourite based on form + H2H, but thin data limits confidence.
·
Sioni home form 2W-1D and recent form WWDLW vs Aragvi away form 0W-1D-2L
·
H2H favours Sioni (3 wins, 2 draws in last 5); recent 0-0 suggests defensive stalemate possible
·
No season stats, no xG data, and low second-division league coverage — large uncertainty band
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Sioni
3
เสมอ
1
Aragvi Dus...
19 ต.ค.
3-0
17 ส.ค.
1-2
11 พ.ค.
0-0
12 มี.ค.
2-1
9 ธ.ค.
6-0
📖 pred.methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · pred.disclaimer