TOP PICK
บาเลนเซีย
PROJECTED: 1-1
42%
CONF 28
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
บาเลนเซีย
30%
เสมอ
28%
กิโรน่า
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
38%
31%
32%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
48%
21%
31%
DL
25% WEIGHT
42%
30%
28%
FINAL BLEND
42%
30%
28%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.06 vs 0.94
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Extremely thin data — treat as weak heuristic; slight home lean offset by near-identical quality.
·
Virtually identical season stats (GF 35/35, GA 47/48) — teams are evenly matched
·
No recent form, H2H, or split data available — confidence severely limited
·
Bare home-advantage baseline applied; mid-table league position on both sides
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Hugo Duro
HOM · F · 9g/31
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
บาเลนเซีย
1
เสมอ
5
กิโรน่า
4 ต.ค.
2-1
16 มี.ค.
1-1
21 ก.ย.
2-0
20 พ.ค.
1-3
2 ธ.ค.
2-1
📖 pred.methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · pred.disclaimer