TOP PICK
Vitesse
PROJECTED: 3-0
78%
CONF 72
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
Vitesse
16%
เสมอ
6%
Salitas
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
87%
9%
4%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
92%
5%
3%
DL
25% WEIGHT
78%
16%
6%
FINAL BLEND
78%
16%
6%
PREDICTED SCORE
3 - 0
xG 3.29 vs 0.61
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
3-0
0.0%
2
2-0
0.0%
3
4-0
0.0%
4
3-1
0.0%
5
2-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
85%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
15%
BTTS NO
85%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
4 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
3 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Vitesse 3-0 up after 25 min; away team has no recent road form to mount comeback.
·
3-goal lead by 25' with 65 minutes remaining — statistical near-certainty
·
Salitas away form (DDWW) shows vulnerability; Vitesse home form (DDLL) misleading due to only 4 home games
·
Two fast Vitesse goals (16', 22') suggest clinical finishing; own goal adds to Salitas disarray
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Vitesse
2
เสมอ
6
Salitas
4 ต.ค.
1-0
8 มี.ค.
0-1
27 พ.ย.
1-1
10 ก.พ.
2-0
31 ม.ค.
0-0
📖 pred.methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · pred.disclaimer